Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.054991 0.065257 0.076783 0.090667 0.106919 0.125324 0.147731
2025-04-13 0.037423 0.050013 0.065784 0.086913 0.114405 0.148876 0.195288
2025-04-20 0.029206 0.042829 0.061403 0.088414 0.126505 0.178083 0.252963
2025-04-27 0.023590 0.037393 0.057590 0.089025 0.136385 0.204661 0.310023
2025-05-04 0.019549 0.033175 0.054384 0.089397 0.145244 0.230195 0.368296
2025-05-11 0.016710 0.030151 0.052260 0.090725 0.155254 0.258165 0.433270
2025-05-18 0.014820 0.028273 0.051539 0.093975 0.168463 0.292377 0.511941
2025-05-25 0.012336 0.024848 0.047564 0.090936 0.170459 0.308204 0.561910
2025-06-01 0.010728 0.022725 0.045505 0.090865 0.177416 0.332958 0.629687
2025-06-08 0.009260 0.020589 0.043048 0.089600 0.181864 0.353563 0.692182
2025-06-15 0.008398 0.019525 0.042475 0.091831 0.193100 0.387643 0.783051
2025-06-22 0.007351 0.017870 0.040436 0.090770 0.197639 0.409453 0.852878
2025-06-29 0.006329 0.016104 0.037935 0.088470 0.199550 0.426769 0.916818
2025-07-06 0.005396 0.014370 0.035228 0.085318 0.199253 0.439655 0.973501
2025-07-13 0.004914 0.013642 0.034676 0.086902 0.209418 0.475246 1.081221
2025-07-20 0.004434 0.012823 0.033776 0.087526 0.217477 0.507212 1.184715
2025-07-27 0.004000 0.012041 0.032835 0.087897 0.224970 0.538722 1.290616
2025-08-03 0.003664 0.011461 0.032307 0.089204 0.234841 0.576605 1.414877
2025-08-10 0.003447 0.011179 0.032510 0.092402 0.249738 0.627626 1.574723
2025-08-17 0.003001 0.010128 0.030476 0.089412 0.248684 0.641011 1.647628
2025-08-24 0.002719 0.009523 0.029574 0.089343 0.255139 0.673135 1.768929
2025-08-31 0.002430 0.008833 0.028320 0.088098 0.258308 0.697482 1.873704
2025-09-07 0.002279 0.008568 0.028268 0.090293 0.271095 0.747391 2.047724